Hardcover • 2015 • English

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Name: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
SKU: 9780804136693
Availability: OutOfStock
ISBN: 9780804136693

By Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

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About the book

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade t...Show more

Society and Social Sciences

Psychology

Mathematics and Science

Book details

ISBN

9780804136693

Published year

2015

Language

English

Original title

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Format

Hardcover

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